Tourism bodies say high-season bookings from France are unchanged so far and arrivals are forecast near last year's 800,000+, at over 60,000 baht spend per trip. The risk is that prolonged protests weaken the French economy and cut outbound travel. Airfares via Middle Eastern hubs remain the bigger drag on European demand. Arrivals from the UK and Germany are slipping slightly, while Eastern Europe is growing. For tourism-linked businesses, watch French bookings and new direct routes (Virgin Atlantic to Phuket, SAS to Krabi and Phuket) rather than changing plans now.