KKPS analyst Teerapol Udomvej says Thai health spending grew 7.6% a year over 2000-2023, against 5.8% for nominal GDP. The government funds about 78% of it. Welfare's share of the budget rose from 20% (2016) to 30% (2026). Analysts expect fiscal room to tighten from about 2030, which could mean slower spending in other areas or new revenue measures. Social security benefit payouts grew about 9% a year against roughly 3% contribution income (2014-2024). No direct action is needed now; watch for changes to public health schemes, social security contributions and tax policy.
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