Central-region small farms say eggs are not truly short: output is about 30% below normal from disease and erratic weather, but middlemen have raised orders about 20% and some shops are being left without stock. Farm-gate price is now 4 baht per egg (a high level) and may stop rising as farms control disease. Retail Size 0 hit 6.20 baht at Talat Prachanives. Expect supply to ease and prices to soften before the vegetarian festival in about two months. Secure regular supplier contracts, avoid over-buying at peak prices, and expect pressure from the government's cheaper "Thai eggs help Thai" programme, which sells about 10% below market.