The IMF's October 2026 World Economic Outlook raises Thailand's 2026 GDP growth to 2.1% (from 1.9%) but trims 2027 to 2.1% (from 2.2%). Inflation is forecast to rise to 2.1% in 2026 from -0.1% in 2025, then ease to 1.7% in 2027. Thailand's current account is expected to swing to a -1.2% of GDP deficit in 2026 from a 3.0% surplus in 2025. Among the peers listed, Thailand has the lowest growth forecast in the group except Myanmar and Brunei. Plan for modest demand, with cost pressure returning from energy and imports, and treat AI-linked export demand as the main growth driver.
← Back to all articles