The IMF kept its 2026 global growth forecast at 3.1% but warned of persistent inflation, rising energy and food prices, and possibly tighter central bank policy that raises borrowing costs. Finance Minister Ekniti said Thailand, as an oil importer, faces higher energy costs for households and businesses, and that vulnerable businesses need more support. Thailand's 10-year bond yield is about 2.3%, relatively stable. For a small business: review fuel and energy costs, plan for possible higher loan rates, and watch whether your sector faces pressure from shifting supply chains.