SCB EIC expects Asian growth in 2026 to be supported by electronics and AI-related investment. Risks: a prolonged Middle East war keeping oil high, which feeds into production costs and inflation for energy importers, possible interest-rate rises by some central banks, and uncertain US tariff and trade-origin rules. For Thailand, the report names three opportunities: selling goods, services and tourism to richer Asian markets, linking into new regional supply chains, and moving up to higher-value production. Using these needs better workforce skills and technology. For a small business this is background: review energy and input costs, and watch US trade-rule changes if you export.