The planning agency (NESDC) now expects 2026 GDP growth of 2.0-2.5%, up from 1.5-2.5%. Q2 growth was 1.9%, below Q1's 2.8%. Tourism revenue is forecast at 1.65 trillion baht, with 32 million visitors and spending of 53,000 baht per trip. Inflation is expected at 1.5-2.0%. Oil imports jumped 117% as firms stocked up, pushing the current account into a deficit. Household consumption is forecast to grow only 2.6%. For a small business, the tourism upside supports planning for demand, while fuel and oil-cost pressure is still a risk to margins.